cherdano, on 2011-August-31, 08:24, said:
Given that you don't have clear follow-up agreements to Ogust, I would just bid 4♣. If partner has a keycard and ♠Q, then slam is quite unlikely to be worse than needing a 3-2 break and avoiding a heart lead, and it could be laydown after you avoid the ♦ ruff at trick 2.
If they're playing that version of Ogust, I think (especially white-on-red first seat) what you mean is "worse than needing a 3-*3* break and avoiding a heart lead"...
Of course, if they're playing the (to my mind silly, but my partners insist) rule where a 5-card suit must be a max (good suit, outside card, not 5-3-3-2), then you're probably back in the game. But I'd expect a crappy 5-carder here more often than
♦A
♠QJxxxx or
♠AQxxxx ...
When I go to sea, don't fear for me, Fear For The Storm -- Birdie and the Swansong (tSCoSI)