US Economy: Us economy depends on the existence of US dollar and its value. Existence and value of US dollar depends on the money system in the world to be indexed to US dollar. And in order for world money system to be indexed to US dollar, number one energy source (oil) has to be valued by US $ currency. So the US dollar is no more just a paper money currency but also and mainly a "oildollar" currency. EVERYTHING that threatens this is a HUGE threat for USA that needs to be taken care of immediately. In addition to this, the number 2 energy source, natural gas, a serious alternative for energy source oil, should not be in any way shape or form be out of control of USA. This is also a very big threat that needs to be dealt with for USA.
Russian Economy: Russia has the biggest natural gas reserves in the world. And their economy relies on the value that they will receive from the sale of this energy source. And the value they will get from this energy source relies on having a monopoly on natural gas market and their ability to determine the price by themselves. And their ability to decide the price of their product relies on their ability to control other 2 natural gas providers which are IRAN and QATAR!
Now let's start;
Russia + Iran + Qatar holds 55% of world's natural gas reserves while USA has only 5%. Iran has been kept out of market for a long time now by international sanctions of US and its allies. That made QATAR number 2 provider of natural gas in the world. USA is far from being competitor, considering their reserves and their distance from the rich clients, such as European and Asian customers. But USA, has to be in this game in order to prevent Russia + Iran + Qatar and the energy source they have, to interfere with their "oildollar" currency which directly affects US economy and US power. But how will USA do this? Fasten your seat belts and take a brief and fast memory trip in your head and remember things that happened in last couple decades....
As I said above, OIL is being sold on US $ currency. There is NO other way of doing it. Anyone who tried or tries alternative currency faces immediately with so called "Democracy Operation" of USA. Although there are so many countries who asked USA for help and demanded democracy, USA only made these "Democracy Operations" to countries whose rulers seek alternative currency. ALL of the OIL providing countries are either close friend or ally or defense partner of USA. They have to be. US makes defense deals and partnership agreements with those countries and assure that they will protect them and sell them guns and weapons etc. Who are they protecting them from? In fact USA is protecting them from USA. Because ANYONE, ANY COUNTRY who rejects this type of deal(s) with USA faces an immediate "Democracy Operations" ! So the "oildollar" currency keeps USA and its economy in good shape. HOWEVER.....
Very fast growing natural gas demand and its pricing is EXTREMELY important for USA. Knowing that they do not have enough reserves and geographical disadvantage to the clients, the threat of natural gas and its market and its effects on "oildollar" currency is a NIGHTMARE for USA for while now. Russia + Iran + Qatar are not countries that USA can intimidate as they did to others. So they had to do something about it.
Let's start with IRAN; a country that insisted on selling their oil out of "oildollar" currency. As I said this is a NO NO for USA. Also they hold the #2 reserves of natural gas in the world. They do not want to make deals with USA. So what should USA do about IRAN? Iran needs to be isolated from the world! I will not bug you guys with details that you already know that happened in last 3-4 decades.
RUSSIA; I will not bother to list the threats of Russia and their economy for USA. It would be a very long list. But in order to weaken Russian economy, USA needs to weaken their income. In order to do that USA needed to drop the prices of OIL. When oil prices go down, the competitor energy source, natural gas prices also has to drop otherwise they lose their market to oil. Also, the drop in oil prices will affect the countries who made long term natural gas deals with Russia, such as Turkey and EU nations. Which pushes them to reconsider their deals with Russia.
Here the real story and strategy of USA begins.
QATAR and its natural gas reserves can be alternative for Turkish and European market. But natural gas can not be transported by ships like oil does. They need a pipeline for this. But there are multiple problems that needs to be taken care of for a pipeline to be built.
- Cost of the project, which varies depending on the length and through which countries it will go. Billions of $.
- Cost of expropriation in countries that it will go through
- Cost of investments, bribery to local politicians etc etc...
- Security of pipeline. In order to secure a pipeline they need countries on the pipeline path who assures the security of the pipeline.***
So USA and its allies decide to built a pipeline that goes through Syria and Turkey and delivered to Europe! Qatar who sells the natural gas, Syria and Turkey and all those who will do the job and make a lot of money are happy. USA is happy because this will hit Russia hard. Assad is called a good friend and democratic leader of Syria!! Turkey suddenly forgets the past and becomes close with Syria (not long time ago) Only one is not happy in this equation, in fact this is a nightmare for them, is Russia!
Russia takes stage at this point. Suddenly, out of nowhere Assad rejects the project and the pipeline that comes from QATAR and decides to partner with Russia and Iran and allow them to built a pipeline for Iran natural gas to be delivered to Mediterranean!!! Suddenly Assad is not the "good friend" anymore. Suddenly he is not the "democratic leader of Syria" anymore for USA and its allies, especially for Turkey! The nightmare of Russia suddenly becomes the nightmare of USA!! Now it becomes something for Russians to smile and USA, Turkey, Qatar to be mad!
So there is only one way for USA to prevent this from happening! Which is to make sure that the pipeline Russians and Iran planning to built will not be a safe and reliable pipeline! Suddenly so called terrorist groups start to pop up like mushrooms in the region!! ISIS, Al-Nusra, Kurds, PKK and this and that...Beheading and all sorts of violence. .OMG nobody know where they came from except the kurds who were always there!! Who finances them? Where do they get all these training and equipment and weapons? Suddenly western world pretend like they started to see the human right violations in Syria! In order to make pipeline insecure, there should not be a country on its path, such as Syria who can assure the security. Suddenly Syria explodes!! Bloodshed and all, good brother Assad short time ago is now called a "dictator" and no more "democratic leader of Syria!! This way USA cuts the path of the pipeline! Migration of people from Syria is justified! After all it is not the economical war that ruined the life of so many innocent people, it was not the economical war that destroyed their houses, lives, jobs but a dictator!!
This is where the movie CNN, Fox and other European media wants us to watch begins. Fanatic muslims, kurds, shia, sunni, anti semantic, democracy defenders, ethnic fights and violence, bombings etc etc. so people who watch the movie justifies the operations against these suddenly popped up violence! USA needs to justify the operations and in order to do that people in this region should be shown as a great enemy to American people! After all, weren't those 11 Vahabis who decided out of no where to declare Jihad on #1 power in the world and attacked them on 9/11? So many people lose their lives having little or no clue whatsoever who actually hit them! What hit them is actually just an economical war and the countries who wants to lead the path of the project and the security of the supply. Media and politicians start beating the air with anger and humanitarian speeches against so called "terrorism" "extremists" "radical groups". People watch this 3rd class movie holding their breath!
After Syria being intentionally put in chaos, Russia had to interfere. Russians first get in to an amazing diplomacy traffic with countries who are related to this project! But they need to have a leverage on Turkey and Turkey jumps on bait like a stupid bass jumps on steel hook! Russian bomber being shot down. Russia acts gentle on Turkey afterwards. Then USA gets annoyed with this Russia and Turkey relations which started to improve suddenly. Russian ambassador gets shot, and so called coup attempt that was triggered from PA USA and all....
You may of course wonder Qatar and why it has been diplomatically isolated by its all neighbors. Why suddenly USA decided Qatar is the #1 threat in terrorism? Russia, knowing that Qatar lost its west pipeline project, decides to be pd with Qatar instead of competing with them! In last month of 2016, 19.5% share of ROSNEFT, which is the biggest government controlled oil company of Russia, is sold to a consortium that has national Qatar funds in it for 10.5 Billion €. Basically Qatar becomes partner of Russia in this sector and betrays USA. What else could USA do other than SUDDENLY declaring QATAR such a big threat for the world!
Thanks for reading if you made this far, I know it was a long analysis!