Official BBO Hijacked Thread Thread No, it's not about that
#181
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:04
How do you weigh championships? Should they count more during your best years than your worst years?
How do you weigh being a pioneer? First black / latino / gay? / amputee / deaf / etc. player in baseball / major leagues / AL or NL / at a position / on a team / etc.?
How do you weigh leadership?
How do you weigh fielding? Errors aren't enough, for example what if I have fewer errors because I don't even try at plays that will be close like diving for fly balls? What if I'm an outfielder next to an exceptionally fast center fielder so I have less area to cover?
How do you weigh context? For example, exceptional play with an injury. Or when your team is one out away from losing?
There is just no way, even if you can adequately "count the stats" (and the fact this has improved so much recently just shows how inaccurate doing so would long have been) that you should judge acceptance to the hall of fame on a formula. In conclusion I didn't think it was possible in this thread but I have managed to hijack it.
#182
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:13
If we dont have a good way to quantify important questions yet, do the best one can.
#183
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:26
#184
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:28
jdonn, on Jan 13 2010, 05:04 PM, said:
How do you weigh championships? Should they count more during your best years than your worst years?
How do you weigh being a pioneer? First black / latino / gay? / amputee / deaf / etc. player in baseball / major leagues / AL or NL / at a position / on a team / etc.?
How do you weigh leadership?
How do you weigh fielding? Errors aren't enough, for example what if I have fewer errors because I don't even try at plays that will be close like diving for fly balls? What if I'm an outfielder next to an exceptionally fast center fielder so I have less area to cover?
How do you weigh context? For example, exceptional play with an injury. Or when your team is one out away from losing?
There is just no way, even if you can adequately "count the stats" (and the fact this has improved so much recently just shows how inaccurate doing so would long have been) that you should judge acceptance to the hall of fame on a formula. In conclusion I didn't think it was possible in this thread but I have managed to hijack it.
There's some good statistic work with respect to defense that goes way beyond fielding percentage (e.g. the "range factor" which takes into account the potential problem you mention about not getting to, or trying for, many balls). Position adjustments are important, also (and have been deciphered, to a large extent), e.g. Alomar, as a very good defensive middle infielder vs. Dawson, as a very good defensive outfielder.
Batting average vs. RBI is also reasonably well decipherable via a "Runs Created" method largely pioneered by James (as was the Range Factor). There are a few different Runs Created formulas, but they all do a pretty good job of contextualizing offensive stats between people whose strengths differ (e.g. power hitters vs. guys who are good at getting on base).
Different eras have also been normalized to a large extent. Different length careers is a bit of a judgment call; it doesn't really require statistical normalization, but different people have different ideas in the HOF discussion about whether it's better to be good for 20 years or great for 10.
I think it's impossible to quantify stuff like "First black," or being deaf, or leadership; the stuff that could conceivably be quantified, though (Good-fielding, high-on base percentage shortstop vs. great-fielding power hitting first baseban) has been quantified REALLY well by James and those who have come after him.
I'd highly recommend any of the annual old Baseball Abstracts as very entertaining, very enlightening reading.
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."
#185
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:29
#186
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:55
Lobowolf, on Jan 13 2010, 02:30 PM, said:
nothing against dawson, but imo you're exactly right... he's my 2nd baseman on my all time team... as far as quantification (stats and how to judge them), i agree with josh that some of these things seem too subjective to judge... as far as steroids (and i know i'm probably in a minority), i could care less about it... barry bonds was one of the greatest hitters i ever saw - and i've seen more than a few, quite apart from his (maybe) roid-induced power, and if i were voting he'd sail in
#187
Posted 2010-January-13, 16:59
Currently, 500 odd people vote with their hearts and stats are used to highlight their errors. I believe Bill James material is so comprehensive that it includes things like "fielding range", ie. the number of balls the shortstop actually got to.
Maybe Bill should get a veto vote?
What is baby oil made of?
#188
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:00
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."
#189
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:16
#190
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:27
Lobowolf, on Jan 13 2010, 06:00 PM, said:
and bonds far distanced both... 5th or 6th all time i think
#191
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:29
luke warm, on Jan 13 2010, 06:27 PM, said:
Lobowolf, on Jan 13 2010, 06:00 PM, said:
and bonds far distanced both... 5th or 6th all time i think
Well of course, he was intentionally walked so often...
#192
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:37
Al_U_Card, on Jan 13 2010, 11:16 PM, said:
Europeans can try a simultaneos soccer discussion, would you like it?.
I loved watching australian football, it was like rugby/american football but with no line of scrimage, very dynamic
#193
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:43
George Carlin
#194
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:47
Jlall, on Jan 6 2010, 04:32 AM, said:
Phil knew, but that's about it.
Clee must have narced me out. They kicked our chit, too.
Rumors of my existence are greatly exaggerated.
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."
#195
Posted 2010-January-13, 17:57
#196
Posted 2010-January-13, 18:00
George Carlin
#197
Posted 2010-January-13, 18:08
Quote
Bill Buckner?
#198
Posted 2010-January-13, 18:11
gwnn, on Jan 13 2010, 07:00 PM, said:
He stays in Wolfsburg till the season end..then ..who knows..
#199
Posted 2010-January-13, 18:13
George Carlin
#200
Posted 2010-January-13, 18:17
Winstonm, on Jan 13 2010, 07:08 PM, said:
Quote
Bill Buckner?
Keith Hernandez?
Call me Desdinova...Eternal Light
C. It's the nexus of the crisis and the origin of storms.
IV: ace 333: pot should be game, idk
e: "Maybe God remembered how cute you were as a carrot."