Posted 2023-January-14, 02:03
You know the club suit. Playing the Jack if declarer has the stiff seems far to weird for us to cater to it.
I wish I knew the heart suit but I assume declarer exited a small heart….ruling out holding, say, A109xxx, where the normal play, after the queen is covered, is A then the 10)
There’s some interesting inferences that we can tentatively draw from the bidding. Declarer has shown 6 hcp so far, and surely won’t have both missing kings (that would/should start with double). Thus partner has one or both missing kings, yet passed. We can be certain that declarer has at least one spade…with KJxxxx partner would bid 2S even without the diamond K.
I think for now we lead the lowest club we have.
Win the presumed diamond and now play the club 9, to get partner to return a spade. We now have 5 tricks in and need to decide…spade to partner’s hoped for king or diamond, cashing one or two if that’s his King. We can’t lose if he has both
I don’t think it can be wrong to play a diamond. If partner has the spade king and not the diamond, declarer is either 2623 or 1633 or 3613 (he can’t be 4603 by this time…he didn’t ruff the first diamond) declarer can’t get to dummy to pitch a spade. Meanwhile, if partner has the diamond king and not the spade, a second spade may be fatal…Kxx Axxxxx xx Q104….his diamond goes away. Yes, I can see that if partner holds Kxx in spades, we’ve blown a trick already, but we we can’t cater to every possible lie of the cards.
One could argue that partner can help us. He could, for example, play the diamond King, having ruffed clubs twice, before honouring our spade signal. That might not be great if declarer held Qxx in diamonds.
It’s probably safer to play the spade King….I obviously have the Ace and if declarer is 1=6=3=3 he can’t get to dummy after ruffing the second spade…and in any event, the queen isn’t good.
If he’s 1624 (possible since my club spots were suit preference rather than count), partner either has the diamond king (so will win it later) or declarer has it.
But I’d not expect a typical club player to work all that out at the table. So I don’t think we should draw any inference from his failure to play either King after the second club ruff.
A caveat: I’m writing this while very spaced out on narcotics. I had dental surgery today and am ‘enjoying’ the benefits of what was, pre-medication, significant discomfort. So if I’ve messed something up, I’ve already given my excuse😀
'one of the great markers of the advance of human kindness is the howls you will hear from the Men of God' Johann Hari