Competitive Judgment
#1
Posted 2014-February-12, 16:54
Sectional Compact KO Final against good opposition.
No one vul, you hold:
Kx
KQxxxx
K
KQxx
RHO is dealer, and the bidding proceeds:
RHO...You.....LHO....Pard
..1♦*....1♥......2♠**......3♦
..4♠......?
* 10+ HCP natural
** weak
Your action?
#3
Posted 2014-February-12, 18:30
1 is looking better al the time. It is a decent form of insurance to bid 5h since 4s
may all too easily make. the 5h bid should generally make sure this is not the
hand we lose the match on whereas letting the opps make 4s when 5h might even
have a chance could easily be a back breaker.
5H
#4
Posted 2014-February-12, 18:37
The bidding does not stack up, but I trust partner. Anyway, worst case scenario for bidding is not that bad. However, if I play 2NT in this sequence as a good four-card raise, I would just smack them. It should be our hand, but even then the decision is close, since I expect they have stretched on the basis of shape, so it rates to be a double fit hand.
FWIW, I think the world has it wrong regarding 2NT as a good four-card raise and cue as three cards (ie the English ). This happens to correlate reasonably well with hands we should take the dive (2NT) and take the money (cue), but I feel the way forward is to play 2NT as offensive and cue as stodge. Playing thes methods, I would have an easy double opposite a cue and an easy Five Hearts opposite 2NT. We should play 2NT as showing our hand type rather than just a bean count as to how many trumps we hold.
#5
Posted 2014-February-12, 22:39
#6
Posted 2014-February-13, 01:35
#7
Posted 2014-February-13, 02:05
#8
Posted 2014-February-13, 04:39
Fluffy, on 2014-February-13, 02:05, said:
I was going to write the same thing about partner's two aces. And obviously even if the spade ace is wrong partner can have a stiff. Not bidding 5h seems way too pessimistic.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#9
Posted 2014-February-13, 07:13
If you are going to bid 5♥, why not keycard? Isn't slam pretty good if partner has THREE ACES?
Here is the hand:
Our opponents made life very difficult for us. The spade barrage kept us from exploring for slam leisurely. I didn't get the shape of their hands, but I suspect we could have gotten 500 against 4♠. Meanwhile, 6♥ is easy. At the table, my partner (holding the long hearts) bid 5♥, and I could not bid slam.
Do you disagree with 3♦? Should I bid 3♠ instead? Is pass forcing over 4♠? I thought it was given the cue bid, but no one has mentioned it in this thread. Even if pass is forcing, it doesn't solve the problem. Only a 4NT bid by the long heart hand allows him to work out that slam is a good bet.
Interestingly, the hand was a push, even though EW at the other table were given a free run (no opposition bidding). Considering that my team won this match by 1 IMP, it was a fortunate push for us.
#10
Posted 2014-February-13, 08:33
ArtK78, on 2014-February-13, 07:13, said:
If you are going to bid 5♥, why not keycard? Isn't slam pretty good if partner has THREE ACES?
Here is the hand:
Our opponents made life very difficult for us. The spade barrage kept us from exploring for slam leisurely. I didn't get the shape of their hands, but I suspect we could have gotten 500 against 4♠. Meanwhile, 6♥ is easy. At the table, my partner (holding the long hearts) bid 5♥, and I could not bid slam.
Do you disagree with 3♦? Should I bid 3♠ instead? Is pass forcing over 4♠? I thought it was given the cue bid, but no one has mentioned it in this thread. Even if pass is forcing, it doesn't solve the problem. Only a 4NT bid by the long heart hand allows him to work out that slam is a good bet.
Interestingly, the hand was a push, even though EW at the other table were given a free run (no opposition bidding). Considering that my team won this match by 1 IMP, it was a fortunate push for us.
I don't think pass should be forcing. Both the overcall and the cuebid could be much lighter.
I believe that the USA currently hold only the World Championship For People Who Still Bid Like Your Auntie Gladys - dburn
dunno how to play 4 card majors - JLOGIC
True but I know Standard American and what better reason could I have for playing Precision? - Hideous Hog
Bidding is an estimation of probabilities SJ Simon
#11
Posted 2014-February-13, 08:37
I am assuming 3D was fit and inv.+
with kind regards
Marlowe
Uwe Gebhardt (P_Marlowe)
#12
Posted 2014-February-13, 08:45
Anyone who designs their bidding structure on the assumption that opps who open and then jump to game have a combined 10 count is being very foolish.
#13
Posted 2014-February-13, 09:04
The problem on the hand is the Kx of spades is pretty much useless on offense so basically my offensive hand is an aceless 13-count where my defensive strength is a 16-count with a (seemingly) well-situated trump honor.
Sometimes, the opponents' actions win.
#14
Posted 2014-February-13, 09:04
mikeh, on 2014-February-13, 08:45, said:
Anyone who designs their bidding structure on the assumption that opps who open and then jump to game have a combined 10 count is being very foolish.
I don't believe opener psyched, per se. They open all 10 counts nonvul. I suspect that he stretched a bit. As for advancer, I believe he had Jxxxxx of spades and out. Both of them bid a lot on very little, which made life difficult for us.
#15
Posted 2014-February-13, 13:35
ArtK78, on 2014-February-13, 07:13, said:
If you are going to bid 5♥, why not keycard? Isn't slam pretty good if partner has THREE ACES?
Here is the hand:
Our opponents made life very difficult for us. The spade barrage kept us from exploring for slam leisurely. I didn't get the shape of their hands, but I suspect we could have gotten 500 against 4♠. Meanwhile, 6♥ is easy. At the table, my partner (holding the long hearts) bid 5♥, and I could not bid slam.
Do you disagree with 3♦? Should I bid 3♠ instead? Is pass forcing over 4♠? I thought it was given the cue bid, but no one has mentioned it in this thread. Even if pass is forcing, it doesn't solve the problem. Only a 4NT bid by the long heart hand allows him to work out that slam is a good bet.
Interestingly, the hand was a push, even though EW at the other table were given a free run (no opposition bidding). Considering that my team won this match by 1 IMP, it was a fortunate push for us.
I think most of us play the 3d as invitational + and therefore (due to the huge range of overcalls) it is impossible to
have a forcing pass situation over 4s.
I like the 3d bid.
4n sounds reasonable but there is danger in using it what happens if after 4n lho bids 5s? do we really want p to bid more with
a min like x with zero aces (dopi) (depo) if I could convince the bridge world that podi pori is always the best way to go one
could bid 4n with far less fear since p would not go beyond 5s without at least 2 aces and make any negative score tiny at worst.
I do disagree that p is highly likely to have 2 aces as there are just a ton of distributional hands with a heart fit that might
invite given the huge range of the 1h overcall.
#16
Posted 2014-February-13, 15:03
gszes, on 2014-February-13, 13:35, said:
have a forcing pass situation over 4s.
I like the 3d bid.
4n sounds reasonable but there is danger in using it what happens if after 4n lho bids 5s? do we really want p to bid more with
a min like x with zero aces (dopi) (depo) if I could convince the bridge world that podi pori is always the best way to go one
could bid 4n with far less fear since p would not go beyond 5s without at least 2 aces and make any negative score tiny at worst.
I do disagree that p is highly likely to have 2 aces as there are just a ton of distributional hands with a heart fit that might
invite given the huge range of the 1h overcall.
I understand your concerns about a 5♠ bid over 4NT. I have two comments about that:
1. The opps will be a level higher, so if you double you are more likely to gain compensation for your missed game/slam.
2. In this situation, whether you use Dopi/Ropi or Podi/Pori, you will not be able to withstand partner's response with 2 aces, as you will be in slam off 2 cashing aces. What you need to be playing is Dope/Rope or Pode/Pore. However, even that won't necessarily help you here. Partner doubles (Dope) or passes (Pode), showing an odd number of key cards. Is it one or three? This is one of those unusual situations in which you really don't know.
#17
Posted 2014-February-14, 05:16
#18
Posted 2014-February-14, 05:57
It did cross my mind to bid 4NT, but the risk of hearing 5♠ followed by a two-ace response seems far higher than the chance that partner actually has three aces. Even if we play DEPO, partner might decide to insist on a slam - he knows about the ambiguity between 0 and 2, and two aces is as many as he can reasonably be expected to hold in this sequence.
I like Zel's idea, though I'm struggling to find a suitable acronym.
#19
Posted 2014-February-14, 06:51
#20
Posted 2014-February-14, 15:45
If I make the wrong decision in bidding on where we're down 1 doubled and 4 ♠ is down 1 doubled, we're giving away 5 IMPs at most. If 5 makes our way, then bidding on was right. If 5 goes down, but 4 ♠ makes, you're ahead of where you would have been from passing. Finally, and the situation that propels me most to make a call, if both 4 ♥ and 4 ♠ both make, you have a potential double game swing situation if your partners don't find the 4 ♠ "sac".
Normally -- with my playing partners who play new suit forcing after overcall -- I'd just bid 5 ♥. I f you play new suits NF, then maybe you might consider a 5 ♣ choice of game call unless partner might take it as a move toward slam.