Pick your poison
#1
Posted 2013-May-08, 06:12
♠986
♥QJ72
♦T643
♣K7
1♣-(pass)-1♥*-(3♠)
dbl-(pass)-?
*Walsh
#2
Posted 2013-May-08, 06:34
#3
Posted 2013-May-08, 11:40
helene_t, on 2013-May-08, 06:12, said:
♠986
♥QJ72
♦T643
♣K7
1♣-(pass)-1♥*-(3♠)
dbl-(pass)-?
*Walsh
I would take a chance at MP and pass (its only 1 board) but the risk vs reward is so badly
skewed at IMPS I have to run. I agree with Winstonm
4d
seems like the best overall bet from a seriously flawed set of choices. P should not be using
x with 1444. There is this nagging feeling that 4c will be right more often than 4d (surely Kx is
just as good as xxx). If someone x 4c then smart money would be to run to 4d so a 4c bid has
one extra way to be a winner than an outright 4d bid. Overall I think of 4c as the pessimists bid
assuming the worst of everything. The downside of 4c is we might all too easily miss 5d that
way. The real problem with this hand comes if p bids 4h over our minor suit bid. While the
hand looks like it might play well in 4h we can easily envision having troubles pulling trumps
with our lack of entries even if we do get to ruff spade losers. If p proceeds to 4h over a 4c/d
bid it is probably best to bid 5c and let p decide which suit is best. This sequence is the main
reason 4d is better than 4c.
#4
Posted 2013-May-09, 00:59
If opener had a 4+ card ♥ fit and a big hand, then pard could have bid 4 ♥.
Likewise, with a big hand and a long ♣ suit, pard could bid 4 ♣.
With ♠s well stopped and a big hand, 3 NT may be an option.
For me, Double in this auction can't be for penalties. Your 1 ♥ response can be made on even weaker values than you actually hold.
You have only 4 ♥s and pard has denied 4 ♥s, so a ♥ rebid is out.
So essentially by default, 4 ♦.
.
#5
Posted 2013-May-09, 02:02
#6
Posted 2013-May-09, 02:35
helene_t, on 2013-May-09, 02:02, said:
I chose 4♦ because I'm hoping partner has four diamonds. His typical, and most likely, shape is 1345. It would be a shame to make him struggle in 4♣ with something like x Kxx AKxx AQxxx.
If he's 1336 he may convert 4♦ to 5♣ anyway, or he might not have doubled in the first place. If he's 2335 4♦ may be horrible, but 4♣ might not be good either.
#7
Posted 2013-May-09, 02:40
#8
Posted 2013-May-09, 03:25
The trouble with 4♦ is, that if 4♦ has a chance you will not play there.
No matter what you can make for your side, partner is unlikely to stop in time and you may well get doubled.
Total trumps looks like 17. If 3♠ is making your side is booked for just 8 tricks.
The law could be wrong or partner might have doubled with a void in spades, but the odds for bidding on look wrong to me.
I try my chances on defense. After all partner should not have a minimum opening.
Rainer Herrmann
#9
Posted 2013-May-09, 04:01
wyman, on 2012-May-04, 09:48, said:
rbforster, on 2012-May-20, 21:04, said:
My YouTube Channel
#10
Posted 2013-May-09, 04:32
rhm, on 2013-May-09, 03:25, said:
The trouble with 4♦ is, that if 4♦ has a chance you will not play there.
No matter what you can make for your side, partner is unlikely to stop in time and you may well get doubled.
If my partner raised 4♦ to 5♦ I'd be quite optimistic, with all of my high cards working. What sort of hand do you think partner needs for a raise to game?
#11
Posted 2013-May-09, 05:31
gnasher, on 2013-May-09, 04:32, said:
That all our points are working is no surprise. Otherwise Pass (or 3NT) would often be a stand out and you would not bid 4♦ in the first place.
Of course opener will have 4 cards for a raise.
Take your own example, which is certainly a good fitting one, x Kxx AKxx AQxxx.
I doubt that opener would pass just because you might be minimum. I at least deem it a sound strategy not to stop one below game when partners assets are unclear in a competitive situation.
Would you bid differently if your hand were
♠986
♥QJ72
♦QJT6
♣K7
Bidding 4♦ with Txxx scares me.
If opener bids 5♦ and next hand doubles with ♦QJxx good night. In 3♠ declarer has still only 8 tricks on a trump lead and he could have only six spades at this vulnerability.
Rainer Herrmann
#12
Posted 2013-May-09, 05:36
I also wouldn't make a non-forcing bid when I have 9 working hcp in partner's suit, and partner forced to the 4-level opposite a one-level response.
#13
Posted 2013-May-09, 05:55
cherdano, on 2013-May-09, 05:36, said:
♠986
♥QJ72
♦QJT6
♣K7
Calling that "9 working HCP" for a high level suit contracts, whose strain we have not found yet, is not my cup of tea.
But I understand that even good players often never progress beyond Milton work count, which was originally designed for notrump hands.
Anyway we have a very concrete situation.
gnasher, on 2013-May-09, 02:35, said:
Tell us the "forcing bid" you would make (4NT???), on which opener will stop below slam when game just makes.
Please remember that you are essentially unlimited. Of course you could get very lucky, but I doubt it. It may work well if your partner is a very conservative bidder.
Rainer Herrmann
#14
Posted 2013-May-09, 06:00
And yes, of course I would bid 4N for the minors with that hand.
Anyway, you should just say that you need less than the rest of us to double 3♠ to make your point - no need to add any insults.
#15
Posted 2013-May-09, 06:14
Obviously we would drive game with nine Quilton's, but only after having noticed that they are likely to be working - it won't always be cold, but it can't be far off. And now partner should never bury us over either 4♦ or 4NT.
#16
Posted 2013-May-09, 06:22
cherdano, on 2013-May-09, 06:00, said:
And yes, of course I would bid 4N for the minors with that hand.
Anyway, you should just say that you need less than the rest of us to double 3♠ to make your point - no need to add any insults.
No I need not less, I just weigh the likely outcomes differently.
Sometimes one simply has to clench one's teeth and defend.
Always bidding on is not the solution.
Of course I would prefer to defend 3♠ undoubled. But this is not an option.
Rainer Herrmann
#17
Posted 2013-May-09, 08:44
rhm, on 2013-May-09, 06:22, said:
Sometimes one simply has to clench one's teeth and defend.
Always bidding on is not the solution.
Of course I would prefer to defend 3♠ undoubled. But this is not an option.
Rainer Herrmann
I would think that if given the choice 100% of us would chose to defend 3S undoubled.

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