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what do you bid? you are in 4th seat, rho opens 1d in 3rd

Poll: AQ7653 K84 4 963 (32 member(s) have cast votes)

All Vul, bidding goes (pass)-pass-(1D) to you in 4th seat. AQ7653 K84 4 963

  1. 1S (10 votes [31.25%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 31.25%

  2. 2S (assuming it is weak, in response to kenrexford's post :)) (22 votes [68.75%] - View)

    Percentage of vote: 68.75%

  3. pass (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#1 User is offline   raist 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 11:14

those who bid 1S, why not 2s?
those who bid 2S, do you really think your internal suit solidity is sufficient?
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#2 User is offline   kenrexford 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 11:19

At one time, I thought that the only situation for direct-seat intermediate jump overcalls was red-v-white. OI am now doubting that conclusion. IMO, the high risk of light third-seat openings, and the lower likelihood of weak overcalls after two passes, suggests that any four-seat jump overcalls should also be intermediate.

Therefore, my new position is that 2 here should really be an intermediate jump overcall. This hand does not qualify for that, and hence my 1 vote.
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#3 User is offline   kenberg 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 12:02

I acknowledge the point about suit quality. No, it really is not sufficient. I would be much happier if the suit were KQJxxx. But I am bidding 2S. It's the sort of overbid that can work out. For someone.
Ken
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#4 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 12:15

I bid 2. Not thrilled about my intermediate spots, but if I waited for the perfect hand to pre-empt, I'll still be waiting when I turn 50. Therefore, I bid 2, it describes my hand quite nicely.
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#5 User is offline   skjaeran 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 14:19

1 for me. The suit is ok for the 2-level for me, but I've got too much potensial to make a weak bid.
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#6 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 14:53

2. I wouldn't do this r/w.
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#7 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 15:18

1, it is not smart to preempt with the ace
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#8 User is offline   Fluffy 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 15:27

2, if I bid 1 then 2 I like it to show opening values. Bidding 1 might force me to paly a bad partial that partner bids next
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#9 User is offline   losercover 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 16:25

I had a hand similar to this with a better spade suit. It was a hand that would bid 1S and then rebid 2S. I opened 2S, got the contract and a bad result.
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#10 User is offline   straube 

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Posted 2010-December-06, 20:30

View PostFluffy, on 2010-December-06, 15:27, said:

2, if I bid 1 then 2 I like it to show opening values. Bidding 1 might force me to paly a bad partial that partner bids next

I agree with Fluffy.
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#11 User is offline   Free 

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Posted 2010-December-07, 08:33

2, it's what I have.
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#12 User is offline   Phil 

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Posted 2010-December-07, 10:48

View Postgwnn, on 2010-December-06, 15:18, said:

1, it is not smart to preempt with the two aces


fyp
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#13 User is offline   rduran1216 

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Posted 2010-December-07, 23:24

View PostPhil, on 2010-December-06, 14:53, said:

2. I wouldn't do this r/w.


I agree with this.
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#14 User is offline   MrAce 

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Posted 2010-December-08, 03:14

2, i cant bid 1 and 2 later as Fluffy said.

Besides, what can be better strategy than using the most annoyed suit for preempt ? ;)
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#15 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-December-08, 05:56

what I mean, phil, was that I don't like preempting when almost all what I have in the suit is the ace.
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#16 User is offline   whereagles 

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Posted 2010-December-09, 14:24

Pretty easy 2 for me. If you're scared, get a dog.
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#17 User is offline   rduran1216 

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Posted 2010-December-09, 14:26

View Postgwnn, on 2010-December-08, 05:56, said:

what I mean, phil, was that I don't like preempting when almost all what I have in the suit is the ace.


Didn't u just say Axxx and Axx were good holdings in another thread?
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#18 User is offline   mtvesuvius 

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Posted 2010-December-09, 14:41

View Postrduran1216, on 2010-December-09, 14:26, said:

Didn't u just say Axxx and Axx were good holdings in another thread?

Are you aware that Axx(x) is NOT a pre-empt?
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#19 User is offline   gwnn 

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Posted 2010-December-09, 15:36

In this thread I was talking about preempting, not bidding to make.

When I preempt, I am looking for good spots and quacks in my long suit. AQ5432 is not a suit I want to preempt in, especially not as a WJO and especially not vulnerable. KQT9xx is much MUCH better for a preempt. Of course, some people will agree with all this but still say that it's worth bidding 2S here. My experience is that it's not.

Mind you, I would be happy to bid 2S if I was NV. it's not that I never preempt when I have the ace, I just noted a negative factor that people have not noted before me.
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#20 User is offline   phil_20686 

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Posted 2010-December-09, 17:34

These arguments about pre-empts go round and round. Sure, I might go for a number, but then I might miss a sacrifice by bidding 1s 2s as partner will assume I have more defence and less offence, and i might never get the chance to show my 6th spade. It also matters a lot what you bid 1s-3s on. You will lose a lot here if partner is allowed to make mixed raises on balanced and unbalanced shapes since you will never be able to judge effectively to bid 4s after say 1d-1s-x-3s-4h ?. If you had bid 2S partner would probably be able to judge. It also depends how good your opps are, as bad pre-empts work best versus weak opps. Essentially it improves the expectation when they bid badly. Anyone who wants to do well in mixed ability fields should vary pre-empt style based on your opposition. Obviously if you are playing a WC you wouldn't do that. 2S is a more effective preempt than 2H, and you should be prepared to do it on worse hands here. You would have to be playing WC opposition for one to even imagine that the tactical gain from 2S is not worth the risk. Agree with gwinn that a suit like KQJT9x is much better for a preempt, but disagree that this is bad. Also, if you are too disciplined it helps the opposition a lot when you do pre-empt. So everywhere there are trade offs to be made. Finally, what you have is not always that important compared to what opposition will think that you will have. In a world of conservative pre-emptors you gain from pre-empting badly as they will base their judgement on their expected norms for your pre-empt, rather than on what you are actually likely to have. Say all red you are in second with a trump holding KJx and the bidding foes 3s p p x p ? If opposs are conservative you might think, his trumps are poor he will definitely have 7 and maybe 8, I'd better not risk a pass, or you might think "He has at most 4 trump tricks probably", and its important to realise that none of that thought process depends on your actual hand.

FWIW I think this is a clear 2S bid. Would bid 1S at red vs white. Against poor oppos I would almost certainly bid 3S at white vs red.
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