mike777, on May 18 2006, 04:57 AM, said:
If you look at the history of the Middle East over the last century, you can see a number of clear themes:
The most significant of these deals with how Arab societies have struggled to respond to Turkish/British/French colonialism. I'm going to make a rather gross over-simplification, however, these societies have responded in one of two manners: Several societies have experimented with a Arab (or pan-Arab) Nationalism. The Baath party is best known example, however, Egypt under Nasser is the other prototypical example. Historically Arab nationalism has been highly secular. More traditionalist/religious elements of society have gravitated towards social movements like the Muslim Brotherhood. From our perspective, its useful to note a few key observations:
1. The world views of these two groups is high antithetical to one another. These social movements view each other as rivals and, in some cases, enemies. The so-called Hama massacre is an excellent example of how these tensions can escalate.
2. Neither of these two groups has a particularly good track record governing. As one side screws up, the political opposition gravitates to the other pole. For example, the main opposition to the secular nationalist Egyptian government is an offshoot of the (banned) Muslim Brotherhood. In an ideal world, I'd hope that people would reject either extreme and experiment with a third way. I'd love to see a genuine commit to social democratic ideals. Unfortunately, the center is being squeezed out.
3. The oligarchies in low population oil exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE have attempted legitimize their rule by positioning themselves as defenders of Islam. I consider the combination of large oil wealth and the highly traditionalist Wahhabist sect unfortunate. I think that the world would look very differently if Sufism were the dominant sect on the Arabian peninsula.
A second very important theme involves how the United States is viewed in the Arab World. Traditionally, the US was viewed in an extremely positive light. Unlike Britain and France, the United States didn't get involved in any colonial escapades in this part of the world. Even more significant, the US forced the British and French to back down during the 1956 Suez Crisis. This legacy of good will was drawn down over time, primarily as a result of
1. Arab belief that the US has abrogated its position as a neutral observer in the Arab / Israeli conflict
2. Arab belief that the US regularly sacrifices its own ideals surround democracy etc. in order to protect its national interest (Containment, oil, making Halliburton rich. The cause d'jour varies). For example, the overthrow of Mossadegh in Iran and subsequent support for the Shah didn't go over well.
3. US intervention in Lebanon during the early 1980s probably marked the definitive transformation of the US from an interlocuteur to just another player.
As to your question whether the US is to Blame for the 9/11 attacks: I don't believe that the anything that the US has done in the region warranted the 9/11 attacks. In much the same manner, the 9/11 attacks didn't warrant the US attack on Iraq. Most of the world views these issues as separate and distinct.
With this said and done, during the 1980s, the United States viewed a militant crusading version of Islam as a weapon to be unleashed against the Soviet Union. The madrassa system in Pakistan and the Taliban are both direct outgrowths of CIA efforts to oust the Soviets from Afghanistan. Equally significant, once the Soviet threat faded, the US government decided to ignore this part of the world. (The US made almost no effort to provide aid or stablize/rebuild the economy)
It can be / has been argued that the 9/11 attacks represent Blowback from these decisions.